The G20 Summit faced a conundrum on Saturday: its members wanted to make sure credit is available to those who need it, while also making sure that banks would tighten their lending standards in order to avoid high-risk behavior. The solution implicitly found is to continue carrying out easy monetary policy as well as designing a series of agreements that give the IMF, the Financial Stability Forum, and others a greater role. The steps taken revolve mostly around greater transparency, adequate disclosure, capital requirements (etc.), and give international bureaucrats more things to do.
The good news is that the world has been, so far, spared from Nicolas Sarkozy’s idea of creating a new international structure of control of financial markets and the G20 members agreed to “reject protectionism.” The bad news is that what has been decided will not fundamentally change the incentives in the system and will still leave the door open to bad policy in the future.
Gerald O’Driscoll has a very good Op-Ed today in the Wall Street Journal in which he addresses the current situation and offers commodity money as its best solution. It may be the case that the opportunity to return to a commodity money system is now greater than one may believe. Considering the type of solutions that the G20 summit delivered, it is thinkable that if some leader were to push for a return to gold in order to prevent future financial meltdowns, people would listen. It would have to be done right of course, considering the mess that was done in the past with the various systems based on commodity money. This would also be the opportunity to kill Keynes’s unfortunate assessment of gold as commodity money, which has been in the minds of many for decades.
What is needed is to relearn what the older liberals of the 19th century had learned from their own experiences from inflationary paper money – that only removing the hand of the government from the monetary printing press can permanently end cycles of booms and busts.
This requires a return to a commodity-backed currency such as gold. It was explained with great clarity by John Stuart Mill, in his "Principles of Political Economy" (1871):
"No doctrine in political economy rests on more obvious grounds than the mischief of a paper currency not maintained at the same value with a metallic [money], either by convertibility, or by some principle of limitation equivalent to it. . . . All variations in the value of the circulating medium are mischievous: they disturb existing contracts and expectations, and the liability to such changes renders every pecuniary engagement of long date precarious. . . .
"Great as this evil would be if it depended on accident [gold production], it is still greater when placed at the arbitrary disposal of an individual or body of individuals who may have any kind or degree of interest to be served by an artificial fluctuation in fortunes; and who have at any rate a strong interest in issuing as much [inconvertible paper money] as possible, each issue being itself a source of profit.
"Not to add, that the issuers have, and in the case of government paper, always have, a direct interest in lowering the value of the currency, because it is the medium in which their own debts are computed. . . . Such power, in whosoever vested, is an intolerable evil."
We can only hope that this greater wisdom will eventually supersede the legacies of Big Government and monetary mismanagement that continue to linger eighty years after Keynes labelled gold a "barbarour relic" in his "Tract on Monetary Reform."
Richard Ebeling
Posted by: Richard Ebeling | November 17, 2008 at 09:48 PM
Thanks Richard for the Mill's quote. Do you have any idea as to what in practice could be done to influence the thinking of policy makers and the population on tnis issue? Start a "Return to Gold" lobby group, perhaps?
Posted by: Frederic Sautet | November 18, 2008 at 09:45 AM
The gold that is missing from the global marketplace is the golden rule. Capitalism is best governed by people who understand and uphold western ethics in business. That puts the interest of the stock holder above the interests of CEO socialist political preferences and self interest.
Posted by: Sara | November 18, 2008 at 11:32 AM